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19.06.2024 08:39 AM
2024年6月19日 EUR/USD 熱點預測

美國的零售銷售在2024年5月同比增長2.3%,此前4月份則經過下修後的增長為2.7%。5月份的結果顯著低於預期的2.8%。但令人驚訝的是,美元並沒有大幅下跌。總的來說,市場保持穩定。美國的工業產出數據為美元提供了支持,與零售銷售不同的是,結果遠遠好於預期。原本預計降幅會從-0.4%縮小到-0.1%。然而,之前的數據首先被下修至-0.7%,本應對美元施加壓力。但相反,降幅變成了0.4%的增長。這樣好的結果提振了美元,使其得以守住陣地。

今天,由於美國的公共假期,預計市場將保持停滯。

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歐元/美元已連續第二日保持在1.0700之上,顯示出支持力度。因此,空頭頭寸的數量減少,導致回調,價格也停滯在該水平之上。

在四小時圖表上,RSI技術指標在50/70的低位徘徊,反映出交易者的看跌情緒。

在同一圖表上,鱷魚指標的移動平均線糾纏在一起,暗示著下行周期的減慢。

展望

為了增加空頭頭寸的數量,價格必須在日內穩定在1.0700以下。如果發生這種情況,價格可能向今年的本地低點移動。然而,如果價格未能穩定在關鍵水平以下,歐元可能會逐漸回升。

複合指標分析顯示,由於價格停滯,短期和日內時段的讀數不穩定。

Dean Leo,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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