empty
20.05.2025 05:08 AM
EUR/USD Forecast for May 20, 2025

Following Moody's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating from AAA to Aa1 on Friday, yesterday saw downgrades of major U.S. banks as well—Bank of America, JPMorgan, and Wells Fargo—from Aa1 to Aa2. Treasury Secretary S. Bessent rightly called the agency a "lagging indicator," and markets barely reacted to the move: the S&P 500 rose 0.09%, 10-year U.S. Treasury yields held at 4.45% (same as May 13), and the U.S. Dollar Index dropped by 0.36%, a move that is difficult to describe as a reaction and aligns with the prevailing medium-term trend. We do not doubt that events are accumulating, ultimately leading to a major market collapse and economic crisis, though not in the short term.

This image is no longer relevant

On the daily chart, resistance at 1.1266 was pierced by the upper shadow. Tuesday began with a rise, but the Monday gap remains unclosed. If the price consolidates above 1.1266 and then continues higher to surpass 1.1535, a bearish divergence with the Marlin oscillator will form, which could lead to a sharp return to below 1.0955, not only closing the gap but also crushing the hopes of euro optimists.

This image is no longer relevant

On the H4 chart, the price is attempting to climb above the indicator lines, signaling an intention to break through 1.1266. The Marlin oscillator is also rising, but unless the price consolidates above 1.1266, a sharp drop toward 1.1150 remains possible, potentially clearing the way for more stable growth (which does not rule out a crash later).

The gap is small, and it is either nonexistent or already closed on other currencies. Therefore, the main criterion is whether the price consolidates above the 1.1266 resistance level.

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Forex forecast 17/06/2025: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, NZD/USD, SP500 and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful

Sebastian Seliga 10:46 2025-06-17 UTC+2

Forecast for GBP/USD on June 17, 2025

On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Monday climbed again to the resistance zone of 1.3611–1.3633, rebounded from it, and turned back in favor of the U.S. dollar. This

Samir Klishi 10:18 2025-06-17 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of GBP/JPY Cross Currency Pairs, Tuesday June 17, 2025

If we look at the 4-hour chart, the GBP/JPY cross currency pair is seen moving in a Bullish bias, which is confirmed by its price movement which is moving

Arief Makmur 06:38 2025-06-17 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement Gold Commodity Instrument, Tuesday June 17, 2025

On the 4-hour chart, the Gold commodity instrument appears to have a Divergence between the Gold price movement and the Stochastic Oscillator indicator, which indicates that in the near future

Arief Makmur 06:38 2025-06-17 UTC+2

EUR/USD Forecast for June 17, 2025

The euro continues to show resilience in the face of geopolitical risks, but it is not doing so independently. It is supported by oil prices and technical consolidation

Laurie Bailey 04:51 2025-06-17 UTC+2

GBP/USD Forecast for June 17, 2025

The British pound is gradually squeezed between the MACD line on the daily chart and the resistance level at 1.3635. The key question now is: which direction will the price

Laurie Bailey 04:48 2025-06-17 UTC+2

AUD/USD Forecast for June 17, 2025

The Australian dollar has been consolidating near the ascending price channel line at 0.6550 for eight consecutive sessions. The Marlin oscillator has been consolidating above the zero line even longer—since

Laurie Bailey 04:48 2025-06-17 UTC+2

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Gold is currently holding on to its intraday losses. Overall positive sentiment in the stock markets is undermining demand for bullion. However, a combination of factors is preventing bears from

Irina Yanina 12:18 2025-06-16 UTC+2

Forecast for EUR/USD on June 16, 2025

On Friday, the EUR/USD pair reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar and consolidated below the 100.0% Fibonacci correction level at 1.1574. This did not happen without reason, which

Samir Klishi 12:02 2025-06-16 UTC+2

Forex forecast 16/06/2025: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, Oil, Gold and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful

Sebastian Seliga 10:30 2025-06-16 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.